与Jason的投资角 & Sean: The Last Mile of the Inflation Race May Be the Hardest

2022年6月，美国总统奥巴马.S. recorded a year-over-year inflation reading of 9.1%, an inflation level not yet experienced in the 21st century. A year later, the annual inflation rate had dropped all the way down to 3.0%. 

As the Fed continues its mission to bring down inflation while maintaining full employment, many investors out there may believe that the fight is almost over. 当我们接近2%的通胀目标时, many economists and investors believe the Fed should start to cut rates at the risk of being overly restrictive, 拖拽U.S. 经济陷入衰退. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly stated that the Fed is cognizant of the risk of being overly restrictive, but is also being proactive to prevent a restimulation of inflation that an early cut in rates could bring. 

在过去的六个月里, 随着每月通胀数据的公布, the anticipated date for the first rate cut by the Fed gets pushed out even further. The last percent or two decrease in inflation may take longer to achieve, so the investment team at Schneider Downs 财富管理 believes that investors should be prepared for a higher interest rate for longer environment. Similar to losing those last few pounds in a weight loss journey, bringing U.S. inflation down from 3% to 2% may be more difficult than bringing it down from 9% to 3%.  

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Schneider Downs 财富管理 Advisors, LP (SDWMA) is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. 美国证券交易委员会(SEC). SDWMA provides fee-based investment management services and financial planning services, along with fee-based retirement advisory and consulting services. Material discussed is meant for informational purposes only, 而且这不能被理解为投资, 税务或法律建议. 请注意，个别情况可能有所不同. 因此, this information should be relied upon when coordinated with individual professional advice. Registration with the SEC does not imply any level of skill or training